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Report: Baitullah Mehsud is Dead

GEO News reports that Baitullah Mehsud, the amir of the Tehreek-e Taliban Pakistan is dead, apparently due to natural causes. Mehsud had been sick in recent days and reportedly slipped into a coma.

Pakistan’s commemorate Eid ul-Fitr today (Wednesday), marking the end of the month of Ramadan. The passing of this murderous terrorist, if true, is an Eid present of sorts for the violence plagued nation.

Expect the TTP shura council to elect a successor soon. It will, however, not be a smooth ride for the TTP, since the organization has continuously faced internal squabbling. It is possible that the TTP could elect a successor from the Mehsud tribe.

Mehsud’s death, however, will not mark the end of the TTP. Pakistan’s security forces should not take this as an opportunity to be complacent. The Pakistan military-intelligence establishment now has an opportunity to make use of potential divisions within the TTP. But while fragmenting the alliance weakens their existence as an ideological movement, it could also give birth to a wide assortment of criminal entities, further destabilizing the region.

There is no alternative to gaining the support of the local tribes, elders, wayward youth, and striking a fine balance between recognizing local autonomy and ensuring the writ of the government is present.

UPDATE: 6:12PM (New York) – BBCUrdu.com reports that a U.S. Predator drone fired two missiles at a home in North Waziristan, killing around four. Foreigners are among the dead.

UPDATE: 10:50PM (New York) – Renown Pakistani Pashtun journalist Rahimullah Yusufzai tells BBC Urdu that Mehsud’s death has not been confirmed with the Tehreek-e Taliban. Yusufzai did state that Mehsud was very ill recently, due to diabetes and heart-related afflictions.

Additionally, today’s missile strike took place in a village near Mir Ali. Yusufzai said that locals told him that the blasts were so strong they could be heard as far as Bannu and Miranshah.

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Category: Baitullah Mehsud, Tehreek-e Taliban Pakistan

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5 Responses

  1. Patton says:

    Check this out:

    http://www.longwarjournal.org/archives/2008/09/reports_of_baitullah.php

    The reasoning seems plausible to me. It would be useful for someone like Mr. BM to have everyone think he was dead.

  2. Arif Rafiq says:

    Sure — one could argue the same with any reported terrorist leader death.

    Mehsud’s death has not been fully confirmed. But there are several reports, albeit unconfirmed, coming from Pakistani journalists in the tribal areas. Some of the more reputable ones are a bit hesitant to make a final confirmation. But I have not seen a refutation. Let’s see how this one plays out.

    I can’t comment on the accuracy of Long War Journal’s reports. It cites third party or anonymous sources.

    I pay greater attention to FATA and Peshawar-based Pakistani journalists, who work in Urdu and English.

  3. Arif Rafiq says:

    Thanks, Asad. The local Pakistani political agent says he’s dead. At the very least he’s very sick. I think the TTP statements about Mehsud being in great health is disinfo. Let’s hope he dies soon.

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Editor:

Arif Rafiq, a Washington, DC-based consultant on Middle East and South Asian political and security issues. [About]

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